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Scope of the study


Introduction

One of the most important things any study can do is define its scope, particularly when it is as big as this. By defining the scope we can decide what the study does and does not cover. But we can also use it to take an overview of the whole.

As a reminder, the basic study attempts to:

  • collect as much data as possible on people with the surnames HOWES, HOWS, HOWSE and HOUSE and their descendents

  • form the individuals into family groups and groups of families linked by birth and marriage

  • where relevant, provide documentary backup for DNA analysis

  • provide other benefits, like helping people break through "brick walls" in their research

  • research the origins of the surnames

  • by doing so, become the global research resource for anyone researching any of the surnames.

     

    Census counts for family names

    A basic first step is to count the universe of names within the study. This we have done at least within the UK. so listed below are my own counts for each surname at each census within the UK from 1841 to 1911 inclusive. At the foot of the page is a table with the detail by country and year.

    If anyone would like to collect and collate parallel data for other countries, it would be greatly appreciated! For example, I'm looking for counts of people called Howes/Hows/Howse or House for Australia, Canada, Ireland, New Zealand, South Africa and the United States at least for whatever years are available.


    Howes Hows Howse House Total

    1841 2692 188 829 2277 5986

    1851 3115 127 1065 2724 7031

    1861 3787 100 973 3095 7955

    1871 4372 121 1091 3480 9064

    1881 5333 210 1220 3957 10720

    1891 5872 125 1324 3914 11235

    1901 7147 141 1447 4662 13397

    1911 8376 177 1394 5337 15284

    Learnings from the data

    The data clearly show that:  

  • Howes and its variants are English names. There are very few instances in Wales and Scotland relative to their populations.  
  • there was phenomenal growth in population in the 19th century paralleling the growth in the overall population  
  • this growth occurred despite substantial emigration from the UK to other countries controlled by, or formerly controlled by, the UK.  
  • there is "noise" in the system. Look particularly at fluctuations in counts for Wales and Scotland. I can confirm there are similar issues within parts of England. That noise comes from several sources: people moving about, how census enumerators wrote down the surnames they heard from each census interviewee, and how their writing was then interpreted by the transcribers of the electronic records.  
  • the population of all four groups together grew by 155% in 70 years. This in itself is interesting since it is substantially higher than the growth of the British population as a whole, which grew by only 69% in that period. It could be that this is a reflection mainly of more emigration from the celtic fringe of the UK (Welsh, Irish and Scottish) although I doubt it. It could be that people with our surnames were less likely to emigrate, though given the number overseas, I doubt that. I'm not at all familiar with whether this result parallels other social history studies, but if anyone can shed any light on this I would greatly appreciate it.  
  • the population of those named Howes grew by 211%, those called House grew by 134%, the Howses grew by 68% and the Hows fell by 6% in those same 70 years. This is fascinating: the biggest groups grew by the biggest amounts! In part, I suspect this is normal surname concentration, but remember that this change happened during the very period when surnames were being standardized. It may be that far from Howes genes being more fecund, people were simply coalescing around a single spelling. As we have seen elsewhere, choices were likely made for them by clergy, registrars, schoolmasters and other educated people.

    What the totals do not show is the extent and speed of movement of the population within the UK as the cities of the Midlands and North suddenly grew during the industrial revolution and its aftermath and as rural depopulation continued. Neither do they show the extent of the emigration actually happening. For that, we can observe the speed with which populations were growing in the "colonies".

    It will be interesting to see whether other significant survey studies with multiple variant groups show the same effects as those described above.

    Paul Howes, March 2010

    The detail

    In the table, Eng refers to England, Wal to Wales, Sco to Scotland, CIs to the Channel Islands (Jersey, Guernsey, etc) and Man to the Isle of Man, data At this point, only data for Scotland for 1911 is missing.


    Howes Hows Howse House Total

    Eng1841 2645 188 808 2214 5855

    Eng1851 3105 117 1041 2614 6877

    Eng1861 3750 97 961 2979 7787

    Eng1871 4315 114 1071 3291 8791

    Eng1881 5286 209 1202 3814 10511

    Eng1891 5827 125 1283 3729 10964

    Eng1901 7064 140 1424 4388 13016

    Eng1911 8270 177 1367 5030 14844

    Wal1841 21 0 2 19 42

    Wal1851 3 0 13 40 56

    Wal1861 12 0 10 36 58

    Wal1871 29 1 6 51 87

    Wal1881 26 1 6 129 162

    Wal1891 27 0 26 97 150

    Wal1901 36 1 19 150 206

    Wal1911 102 0 27 304 433

    Sco1841 25 0 19 38 82

    Sco1851 0 6 11 58 75

    Sco1861 9 0 2 74 85

    Sco1871 22 2 13 132 169

    Sco1881 14 0 12 9 35

    Sco1891 12 0 15 74 101

    Sco1901 43 0 4 113 160
    \
    Sco1911



    0

    CIs1841 1 0 0 6 7

    CIs1851 7 4 0 12 23

    CIs1861 16 3 0 6 25

    CIs1871 6 4 1 6 17

    CIs1881 7 0 0 5 12

    CIs1891 6 0 0 13 19

    CIs1901 4 0 0 10 14

    CIs1911 3 0 0 3 6

    Man1841 0 0 0 0 0

    Man1851 0 0 0 0 0

    Man1861 0 0 0 0 0

    Man1871 0 0 0 0 0

    Man1881 0 0 0 0 0

    Man1891 0 0 0 1 1

    Man1901 0 0 0 1 1

    Man1911 1 0 0 0 1